BTC Trend Pullback (EMA200+EMA20) w/ ATR 1:2 RR — Strategy by Danish7421
By Danish7421
Performance Metrics
- Author: Danish7421
- Symbol: MEXC:LINKUSDT.P
- Timeframe: 15 minutes
- Net P&L: +947.29 USDT (+94.74%)
- Win Rate: 37.5%
- Profit Factor: 1.119
- Max Drawdown: 404.34 USDT (19.17%)
- Total Trades: 1,045
Description
Strategy Overview: BTC Trend Pullback (EMA200+EMA20)This strategy is a trend-following mean reversion system designed to capture high-probability entries within an established market regime. It utilizes a "dual-filter" approach: identifying the long-term trend while waiting for a short-term "cooldown" (pullback) before entering on a momentum confirmation signal.1. Trend Identification & FilteringThe strategy establishes market direction using the 200-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA).Bullish Regime: Price must be trading above the 200 EMA.Bearish Regime: Price must be trading below the 200 EMA.ADX Filter (Optional): To avoid "choppy" or sideways markets, an Average Directional Index (ADX) filter ensures that the trend has sufficient strength (typically $> 20$) before any trades are considered.2. The Pullback (Mean Reversion)Rather than chasing a breakout, this strategy waits for price to return to its "value zone"—the 20-period EMA.The script offers two modes for the pullback:Touch: A conservative entry where the candle wick merely taps the 20 EMA.Close Beyond: A more aggressive entry where the price must close on the opposite side of the 20 EMA, suggesting a deeper retracement.3. Execution via ConfirmationTo prevent "catching a falling knife," a trade is only triggered when price shows signs of resuming the primary trend. The user can select from:Bullish/Bearish Engulfing: A classic price action pattern where the current candle "swallows" the previous candle's body.Strong Close: A candle that closes in the top or bottom 40% of its total range (indicating high directional conviction).4. Risk Management (1:2 Reward-to-Risk)The strategy employs an Average True Range (ATR) based exit system to adapt to market volatility.Stop Loss (SL): Placed at $1.0 \times \text{ATR}$ from the entry price.Take Profit (TP): Placed at $2.0 \times \text{ATR}$ from the entry price.By using ATR, the strategy "breathes" with the market; stops are wider during high volatility and tighter during low volatility, maintaining a mathematically consistent 1:2 Reward-to-Risk ratio.