Silver Risk Management outperformed Buy & Hold — Strategy by CuriousMacroX
By CuriousMacroX
Performance Metrics
- Author: CuriousMacroX
- Symbol: TVC:SILVER
- Timeframe: 1 day
- Net P&L: +32,642.50 USD (+326.42%)
- Win Rate: 46.0%
- Profit Factor: 3.704
- Max Drawdown: 6,504.24 USD (16.24%)
- Total Trades: 37
Description
This strategy starts from a very direct ideaStay long silver by defaultstep aside when risk starts to buildand step back in when structure and macro conditions calm downSilver can reward patience, but it also has a habit of violent flushesThat is why this model does not try to predict every moveIt only tries to manage exposure when pressure becomes visibleThe model uses three layers1. Silver structure A slow EMA helps identify broader trend damage2. Macro pressure US10Y stress is used as the main macro exit filter3. Flush protection Large downside moves and volatility shocks can trigger an exit or delay re entryThe strategy also includes its own Buy and Hold benchmark from the same start dateThat keeps the comparison cleaner than relying only on TradingView’s default Buy and Hold lineWith the current conservative test settingsCommission: 0.10%Slippage: 2Start date: 2021 01 01Benchmark start: first available daily bar after that dateThe backtest currently shows the strategy outperforming its own Buy and Hold benchmark by 147% pointsStrategy return: 326%Own Buy and Hold: 179%Max equity drawdown: 16%Profit factor: 3.7Total trades: 37The goal is not to prove that silver can be timed perfectlyThe goal is to study whether silver’s violent flushes create more room for risk managed exposure than passive holdingThis is a backtest and research toolIt is not a buy or sell signaland it is not financial advice