Supertrend Flip Backtest - Gold Daily [Arxum] — Strategy by Arxum
By Arxum
Performance Metrics
- Author: Arxum
- Symbol: OANDA:XAUUSD
- Timeframe: 1 day
- Win Rate: 40.6%
- Profit Factor: 2.168
Description
Supertrend backtest on gold: the proof behind the Supertrend Flip indicator, as a strategy() you can run on your own chart. 1000 start, 2% risk per trade, 0.04% commission per side.The rule: go long on the bullish Supertrend flip (ATR 10, multiplier 3) in a CALM market (ADX below 25), trail the stop on the Supertrend line, exit on the down-flip. That calm filter is the finding from our study, since the strong-trend filter most traders reach for actually made it worse.In our study at Arxum, on 8 years of real gold data, this ran a profit factor of 2.05 with the drawdown held near 9 percent. It survives out of sample and repeats on silver and Bitcoin, and it fails on FX majors where Supertrend whipsaws. We show both, honestly.On TradingView's own data the Strategy Tester shows its own feed result, a different number. Run it and judge for yourself.Indicator, the one-click tool with the signal, stop, 2R target and alert: Research: Nina Carr, published by Arxum.Full method, the trade charts and where it fails: arxum.com/supertrend-indicator/